Buyers & SellersColorado HousingFort Collins Real EstateHome PricingHousing TrendsMarket NewsMarket Trends February 20, 2024

No Drop

The numbers are in and it turns out that not even 8% rates could make prices drop in 2023.

When mortgage rates jumped this last year, many people believed that home values would fall as a result.

The fact that prices stayed flat in 2023 even though interest rates doubled between March 2022 and October 2023, shows that values along the Front Range are incredibly resilient.

Here are the 2023 average prices along the Front Range and their change compared to 2022:

Larimer County:  $621,538 / 1%

Weld County:  $527,600 / 1%

Metro Denver:  $679,710 / 0%

 

Colorado HousingHousing TrendsMarket NewsMarket Trends February 17, 2024

Out of the Gates

How is the year starting? All of us in the real estate industry are especially curious to see how 2024 is starting off after the first slow real estate year in a long time.

Rates have settled down and are trending down.

Prices have shown resilience and continue to go up.

But, how about transactions? Are they picking up after a year that saw an 18% decline in the number of closed residential properties?

It turns out the year is starting off strong but not unusually strong.

Pending transactions are up in Larimer County 7% year over year and up 3% in Weld County.

So, we are already seeing signs that 2024 will be a year of growth compared to last year.

 

Buyers & SellersFun FactsMarket Trends February 15, 2024

More Normal Range

The length of time that it takes for a property to sell is settling into a more normal range.

“Days on Market” is an insightful statistic that counts how long it takes for a property to go from live on the market to sold.

Today measurement stands at 72 days in Larimer County and 74 days in Weld County.

From January 2021 to November 2022, Days on Market never went above 60. This time period was defined by incredibly high demand and drastically low supply.

The time frame of January 2018 to December 2020, which was more ‘normal,’ had Days on Market between 60 and 90 days.

 

Colorado HousingHousing TrendsMarket NewsMortgage February 13, 2024

Above Water

A dynamic that gives us even more confidence about the housing market is the amount of equity that homeowners have in their property.

Equity is of course the difference between the value of the property and the amount that is owed against it.

In Larimer County, 53% of homeowners have at least 50% equity in their homes. In Weld County, the number is 38%.

It is interesting to note that Nationally, only 1.8% of homeowners are ‘underwater,’ meaning that the value is lower than what is owed against the property.

In 2009, 26% of homeowners were underwater.

 

Buyers & SellersColorado HousingEconomics 101Housing TrendsMarket NewsMarket TrendsWindermere Real Estate February 2, 2024

Forecast Takeaways

Here are some of the big takeaways from our annual Market Forecast with Economist Matthew Gardner:

  • Interest rates will continue to trend down during the year and reach 6.08% by the end of 2024.
  • Home prices will have another year of modest gains increasing 2.0% to 2.5% in Northern Colorado
  • 53% of homeowners in Larimer County and 38% of homeowners in Weld County are “Equity Rich” meaning that they have at least 50% equity in their homes.
  • Inventory levels will increase in 2024 but will remain below normal which protects prices from any sort of major decline

To receive a copy of the full slide deck from the Forecast, feel free to reach out to us!

 

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BuyersHome PricingMarket NewsMarket TrendsSellersWindermere Real Estate November 21, 2023

Highly Active

In addition to tracking the average price for sold properties, it is also interesting to track the average price for active properties.

Asking prices are up across all markets when compared to the same time last year.

Here are the average list prices for residential properties along the Front Range:

  • Larimer County = $893,000 (8% higher than last year)
  • Weld County = $702,000 (6% higher than last year)
  • Metro Denver = $847,000 (5% higher than last year)

These asking prices are higher than average sales prices by approximately 30%. This is because there are many high-end properties on the market which take longer to sell and which pull up the average.

 

Fun FactsMortgageSellersWindermere Real Estate November 17, 2023

Net Worth Surge

Net worth surged for American families during the pandemic era, largely because of increased home values based on the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances.

Net worth is a measure of household assets after accounting for liabilities. After accounting for inflation, median net worth jumped to $192,900, a 37% increase from 2019-22, the Fed found.

That percentage growth was the largest since the Fed started its modern survey in 1989. It was also more than double the next-largest increase on record. Between 2004 and 2007 real median net worth rose 18%.

 

Colorado HousingFun FactsMarket Trends November 14, 2023

Holding Steady

Buyers & SellersFun FactsMortgageWindermere Real Estate November 10, 2023

A Rate-Induced Pop

The recent drop in mortgage rates triggered a measurable uptick in sales activity.

So far through the first 10 days of November, pending activity in Northern Colorado is up versus the same 10 days last year.

This is despite interest rates being higher than they were last year.

Mortgage rates just had their biggest one-week drop in over a year and buyers clearly responded.

Pending sales through November so far are up versus last year:

48% in Larimer County

20% in Weld County