Colorado HousingHousing TrendsMarket NewsMortgage February 13, 2024

Above Water

A dynamic that gives us even more confidence about the housing market is the amount of equity that homeowners have in their property.

Equity is of course the difference between the value of the property and the amount that is owed against it.

In Larimer County, 53% of homeowners have at least 50% equity in their homes. In Weld County, the number is 38%.

It is interesting to note that Nationally, only 1.8% of homeowners are ‘underwater,’ meaning that the value is lower than what is owed against the property.

In 2009, 26% of homeowners were underwater.

 

Buyers & SellersColorado HousingEconomics 101Housing TrendsMarket NewsMarket TrendsWindermere Real Estate February 2, 2024

Forecast Takeaways

Here are some of the big takeaways from our annual Market Forecast with Economist Matthew Gardner:

  • Interest rates will continue to trend down during the year and reach 6.08% by the end of 2024.
  • Home prices will have another year of modest gains increasing 2.0% to 2.5% in Northern Colorado
  • 53% of homeowners in Larimer County and 38% of homeowners in Weld County are “Equity Rich” meaning that they have at least 50% equity in their homes.
  • Inventory levels will increase in 2024 but will remain below normal which protects prices from any sort of major decline

To receive a copy of the full slide deck from the Forecast, feel free to reach out to us!

 

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BuyersHome PricingMarket NewsMarket TrendsSellersWindermere Real Estate November 21, 2023

Highly Active

In addition to tracking the average price for sold properties, it is also interesting to track the average price for active properties.

Asking prices are up across all markets when compared to the same time last year.

Here are the average list prices for residential properties along the Front Range:

  • Larimer County = $893,000 (8% higher than last year)
  • Weld County = $702,000 (6% higher than last year)
  • Metro Denver = $847,000 (5% higher than last year)

These asking prices are higher than average sales prices by approximately 30%. This is because there are many high-end properties on the market which take longer to sell and which pull up the average.

 

Fun FactsMortgageSellersWindermere Real Estate November 17, 2023

Net Worth Surge

Net worth surged for American families during the pandemic era, largely because of increased home values based on the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances.

Net worth is a measure of household assets after accounting for liabilities. After accounting for inflation, median net worth jumped to $192,900, a 37% increase from 2019-22, the Fed found.

That percentage growth was the largest since the Fed started its modern survey in 1989. It was also more than double the next-largest increase on record. Between 2004 and 2007 real median net worth rose 18%.

 

Colorado HousingFun FactsMarket Trends November 14, 2023

Holding Steady

Buyers & SellersFun FactsMortgageWindermere Real Estate November 10, 2023

A Rate-Induced Pop

The recent drop in mortgage rates triggered a measurable uptick in sales activity.

So far through the first 10 days of November, pending activity in Northern Colorado is up versus the same 10 days last year.

This is despite interest rates being higher than they were last year.

Mortgage rates just had their biggest one-week drop in over a year and buyers clearly responded.

Pending sales through November so far are up versus last year:

48% in Larimer County

20% in Weld County

 

Buyers & SellersColorado HousingFort Collins Real EstateMarket NewsWindermere Real Estate November 3, 2023

MOI is Still LOW

Despite decreased buyer activity driven by normal seasonal patterns plus higher interest rates, the key stat of Months of Inventory continues to stay relatively low.

Months of Inventory (MOI) is the simple measurement of how long it would take to sell the current inventory of homes for sale at the current pace of sales.

Along the Front Range, this stat ranges from roughly 2 ½ months to just over 3. A market is considered ‘balanced’ when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory for sale.

Here are the specific numbers for Front Range markets:

Larimer County = 3.1 Months

Weld County = 2.7 Months

Metro Denver = 2.4 Months

 

Buyers & SellersHousing TrendsMarket TrendsSellersWindermere Real Estate October 13, 2023

The Price is Right

This is an interesting and important time of year for current home sellers.

Thanksgiving is approximately 45 days away which is an important deadline for home buyers.

Many buyers who are considering a move this time of year would like to close on a home before Thanksgiving.

Current home sellers have a one to two week window to have their property under contract so a buyer can close by the Thanksgiving deadline.

Activity always slows in the winter and typically doesn’t show a noticeable increase until March.

So, proper pricing is paramount today so that sellers can take advantage of the seasonal window which is closing soon.

 

Buyers & SellersFort Collins Real EstateHousing TrendsMarket News October 10, 2023

Increasing Reductions

More and more sellers are having to reduce their listing price.

Nationally, 37% of all home sellers have recently had a listing price reduction. This is according to a recent report from Altos Research.

This is up from 30% in May and is now at the second-highest level since 2018. The highest it has been in the last five years is November 2022 when it stood at 41%.

A “normal” range is between 25% and 30%. Today’s number is a result of softening demand based on higher interest rates.

Proper pricing is always important for a seller and is especially so now as we enter a typically slower time of the year with added challenges related to interest rates.